Weather Forecasts Explained

Double Rainbow

Science and technology have made weather forecasts more accurate and more quickly and widely available than ever before. This guide from Towergate Insurance, specialist providers of Yacht Insurance, will help to ensure that you aren’t missing out on the information that could save you from a storm.

It’s a cliché, but things have come a long way since the BBC Radio 4 shipping forecast was the best and most accessible weather forecast for sailors. Modern technology has completely revitalised how we receive and process weather data. In this new world, weather forecasts range from simple but rapid text updates for mobile phones, to pages and pages of customised reports.

Weathervane

One thing remains consistent though - however you finally access a weather forecast, the original analysis and information still comes from a meteorological centre. These places are formed into a global network, used to exchange the raw weather data collected from their own local observation stations. Each centre then runs the collected worldwide data through their powerful computer forecasting programs. The bigger the weather centre, the better their computers and programs are likely to be, and the better the quality of the forecast. Most of the ones you are likely to hear about are part of a national civil service or government.

In the UK, the Met Office provides a national weather service, while in the USA the equivalent is the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) aptly named National Weather Service (NWS). These weather centres provide data and forecasts to the public and, depending on the remit they have from government, this might be a free service, or there could be a cost. At first glance, the best forecast for any given area ought to come from the local national weather centre, but those in small countries with fewer resources may find themselves outperformed by the bigger nations. I’d always advise you check a small local forecast against what the NWS, the Met Office or any of the big European weather centres have to say.

So much for where the weather forecast comes from – where’s the best place to find it? The single most useful place to go for weather information is undoubtedly the internet, and there are many websites that cater to the needs of the sailor – these are a few of the popular ones.

Weather Websites

UK Met Office - http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/

A well-designed website providing free access to the classic inshore waters and shipping forecasts, along with a range of other information, including surface pressure charts, rainfall radar and satellite pictures for the technically-minded.

Wind Guru - http://www.windguru.cz/int/

This is a popular website providing clear, simple and free access to wind and wave forecasts from the NWS or, for a reasonable fee, providing swathes more information and forecasts from different weather centres.

Magic Seaweed - http://magicseaweed.com /

Essentially a surfing website, but for coastal sailing it’s still really useful because of the neat visual ways in which the forecasts are presented.

GRIB.US - http://www.grib.us/

Definitely one for the more technically minded, but this is a great website that will give you free access to GRIB files for anywhere on the planet. If you don’t know what a GRIB file is, then it’s all explained on the website...

NOAA – National Weather Servicehttp://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/marine/internet.htm

A fantastic resource, you’ll need a degree in meteorology to exhaust all the possibilities here...

While the internet is undoubtedly the quickest and most effective way of getting a weather forecast, it’s not always available, especially once you get a few miles off the coast - unless you can afford the cost and have the room for satellite communications. But there are more traditional methods, and many of them are still very good.

The Harbour Master

Ah yes, the friendly harbour master - or these days more often a marina manager – obvious but sometimes overlooked. Most good marinas and harbours post a decent daily weather forecast in the window or on their notice board. It’s always worth stopping by the office to check.

The Media

Local and national radio, television and newspapers all carry weather forecasts of one type or another. Some of them are pretty much useless, while others are specifically tailored to the sailor – the classic example being BBC Radio 4’s shipping forecast, which is still going strong:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/guide/radio.html

The traditional places to find the sources of possible media forecasts in a new sailing area would be an almanac or cruising guide.

Marine VHF

The trusty VHF radio is still extremely useful, especially once you are at sea. International safety at sea is overseen by the Global Marine Distress and Safety System (GMDSS), which assigns Marine Rescue Coordination Centres (MRCC) to watch over national waters in each country. The MRCC will often broadcast forecasts on VHF from their own national weather centre. There are a few places you can look for more information on the broadcast times and channels. If you remember before you set sail then check out the internet, here’s an example of a link to the Royal Yachting Association’s website page on UK marine VHF broadcasts:

http://www.rya.org.uk/weathertides/Pages/msi.aspx

Again, the more traditional place to look for information on times, frequencies or channels is the almanac, or a cruising guide.

NAVTEX

Getting a little bit more technical now - NAVTEX units are also part of the GMDSS, and they are designed specifically for the reception of marine safety information. If you have one onboard, it will already be spitting weather forecast information out at you as part of that service. If you don’t, then a dedicated receiver is required, but it’s a good investment in safety anyway, and might just save you an insurance claim! If you want to know more, here’s the RYA’s website page on NAVTEX:

http://www.rya.org.uk/infoadvice/regssafety/Equipment/Pages/navtex.aspx

Premium Telephone Lines

Before the advent of the internet these were great sources of information. These days they are still a good (but sometimes expensive) alternative to the web, especially if you have a mobile phone without internet access. Here are some examples of what’s provided by the various National Weather Services.

The Met Office in the UK: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/public/paid/leisuremarine

NOAA in the USA: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/marine/noaatel.htm

Bureau of Meteorology in Australia: http://www.bom.gov.au/other/tws/twsdir.shtml

Custom Weather Forecasts

If you want to push the boat out (‘cuse the terrible pun) on your own personal weather service, then there are several purveyors of tailored weather forecasts for regattas, ocean passages or just trips across the Channel – here are a few of them.

Commanders’ Weather - http://www.commandersweather.com/

Sailing Weather Service - http://www.sailwx.com/PUBLIC/index.html

Winning Wind - http://www.winningwind.com/

SSB

And finally, the proper old school stuff – the Single Side-Band Radio. Before satellite communications changed our world the SSB was the main or only means of receiving weather information in the open ocean. And that system is largely still in place – well worth investigating if you’re going serious blue water cruising, if only as a back-up to the satcom.

Please wait... loading